Identification and Prioritization of Emerging Technologies in Road Transportation Using Multi-Criteria Decision Making (MCDM)
Subject Areas : Technology Managementmehrnoosh bastenegar 1 * , Reza Pouya 2 , Nasrin Sakhaian Haji Mohammadi 3
1 -
2 -
3 -
Keywords: Emerging Technologies, Road Transportation, Technology Identification, Technology Assessment, Multi- Criteria Decision Making (MCDM), TOPSIS.,
Abstract :
In today's world, issues such as the depletion of energy resources, environmental pollution, the increase in material and spiritual damages caused by accidents, the supervision and management of intercity transportation, the increase in wasted time, and the rapid growth of transportation demand in the world have become a serious problem in the road transportation sector. This is while the existence of smooth and safe transportation is one of the most fundamental infrastructures for development and increasing the level of well-being and social welfare in any country. On the other hand, the rapid growth of emerging technologies that play a driving role in various industries and economic sectors and guide the transportation industry towards becoming intelligent, increasing efficiency, and raising the level of service quality has attracted the attention of policymakers and planners in the country to use these emerging technologies to solve the serious problems in this field. Due to the limitations of resources, naturally, a comprehensive understanding and then prioritization of these technologies can be a step towards getting out of the current situation. In this research, an attempt has been made to identify emerging technologies in road transportation by conducting library studies and then prioritizing them using the multi-criteria decision-making method (TOPSIS). The results indicate that according to the indicators of national strategic goals in this sector, the "smart communication networks" technology ranks first, followed closely by "traffic automation" and "smart buses" technologies in the second and third ranks, respectively, with an index close to the first rank.
1- شریفی، نورالدین؛ "حمل و نقل و تأثیر آن بر دیگر بخش‌های اقتصاد کشور: یک تحلیل داده- ستانده"، پژوهش‌های رشد و توسعه اقتصادی، دوره 2، شماره 5، صص 237-207، 1390.
2- سلطانی، محمد؛ علیمرادی، مهرداد؛ حسن‌زاده اصفهانی، محمد؛ "تحلیل فضایی برخورداری مراکز زیست و فعالیت از شبکه حمل و نقل با استفاده از GIS، مطالعه موردی: نقاط سکونتگاهی استان تهران"، دوازدهمین کنفرانس بین‌المللی مهندسی حمل و نقل و ترافیک، 1391.
3- برنامه استراتژيك بخش حمل‌ونقل ايران - ویرایش 1، معاونت حمل‌ونقل وزارت راه و شهرسازي جمهوري اسلامي ايران، 1397.
4- ارباب شیرانی، بهروز؛ خاکباز، حسن؛ "بررسی جایگاه فناوری در برنامه‌های توسعه‌ای کشور"، چهارمین کنفرانس ملی مدیریت تکنولوژی ایران، 1389.
5- بزاززاده، مهدی؛ داداش‌پور، هاشم؛ مطوف، شریف؛ "بررسی و تحلیل عوامل کلیدی مؤثر بر توسعه منطقه‌ای با رویکرد آینده‌نگاری منطقه‌ای، مطالعه موردی: استان آذربایجان غربی، ایران"، برنامهریزی فضایی، دوره 4، شماره 2، پیاپی 2، صص 104-79، شهریور 1393.
6- Pavić, Z., & Novoselac, V. (2013). Notes on TOPSIS method. International Journal of Research in Engineering and Science, 1(2), 5-12.
7- Bagloee, S. A., Tavana, M., Asadi, M., & Oliver, T. (2016). Autonomous vehicles: challenges, opportunities, and future implications for transportation policies. Journal of modern transportation, 24, 284-303.
8- El Faouzi, N. E., Leung, H., & Kurian, A. (2011). Data fusion in intelligent transportation systems: Progress and challenges–A survey. Information Fusion, 12(1), 4-10.
9- Banzhaf, H., Nienhüser, D., Knoop, S., & Zöllner, J. M. (2017, June). The future of parking: A survey on automated valet parking with an outlook on high density parking. In 2017 IEEE Intelligent Vehicles Symposium (IV) (pp. 1827-1834). IEEE.
10- Mitropoulos, L., Kortsari, A., & Ayfantopoulou, G. (2021). A systematic literature review of ride-sharing platforms, user factors and barriers. European Transport Research Review, 13, 1-22.
11- Wilberforce, T., E1-Hassan, Z., Khatib, F. N., A1 Makky, A., Baroutaji, A., Carton, J. G., & Olabi, A. G. (2017). Developments of electric cars and fuel cell hydrogen electric cars. International Journal of Hydrogen Energy, 42(40), 25695-25734.
12- Badue, C., Guidolini, R., Carneiro, R. V., Azevedo, P., Cardoso, V. B., Forechi, A., ... & De Souza, A. F. (2021). Self-driving cars: A survey. Expert Systems with Applications, 165, 113816.
13- Bojarski, M., Del Testa, D., Dworakowski, D., Firner, B., Flepp, B., Goyal, P., ... & Zieba, K. (2016). End to end learning for self-driving cars. arXiv preprint arXiv:1604.07316.
14- Ni, J., Chen, Y., Chen, Y., Zhu, J., Ali, D., & Cao, W. (2020). A survey on theories and applications for self-driving cars based on deep learning methods. Applied Sciences, 10(8), 2749.
15- Megalingam, R. K., Raj, N., Soman, A. L., Prakash, L., Satheesh, N., & Vijay, D. (2014, April). Smart, public buses information system. In 2014 International Conference on Communication and Signal Processing (pp. 1343-1347). IEEE.
16- Sutar, S. H., Koul, R., & Suryavanshi, R. (2016, January). Integration of Smart Phone and IOT for development of smart public transportation system. In 2016 international conference on internet of things and applications (IOTA) (pp. 73-78). IEEE.
17- Kadam, A. J., Patil, V., Kaith, K., & Patil, D. (2018, March). Developing a smart bus for smart city using IOT technology. In 2018 Second International Conference on Electronics, Communication and Aerospace Technology (ICECA) (pp. 1138-1143). IEEE
18- Molinari, F., Dethof, A. M., & Raisch, J. (2019, June). Traffic automation in urban road networks using consensus-based auction algorithms for road intersections. In 2019 18th European Control Conference (ECC) (pp. 3008-3015). IEEE.
19- Hoogendoorn, R., van Arerm, B., & Hoogendoom, S. (2014). Automated driving, traffic flow efficiency, and human factors: Literature review. Transportation Research Record, 2422(1), 113-120.
20- Martinez, F. J., Toh, C. K., Cano, J. C., Calafate, C. T., & Manzoni, P. (2010). Emergency services in future intelligent transportation systems based on vehicular communication networks. IEEE Intelligent Transportation Systems Magazine, 2(2), 6-20.
21- Zhang, H., & Lu, X. (2020). Vehicle communication network in intelligent transportation system based on Internet of Things. Computer Communications, 160, 799-806.
22- Kalašová, A., Mikulski, J., & Kubíková, S. (2016). The impact of intelligent transport systems on an accident rate of the chosen part of road communication network in the Slovak Republic. In Challenge of Transport Telematics: 16th International Conference on Transport Systems Telematics, TST 2016, Katowice-Ustroń, Poland, March 16–19, 2016, Selected Papers 16 (pp. 47-58). Springer International Publishing.
23- Heimberger, M., Horgan, J., Hughes, C., McDonald, J., & Yogamani, S. (2017). Computer vision in automated parking systems: Design, implementation and challenges. Image and Vision Computing, 68, 88-101.
24- Mattia, G., Di Pietro, L., Principato, L., & Toni, M. (2022). Shared car for traveling? Uncovering the intention of non-users to adopt P2P ride-sharing. Research in Transportation Business & Management, 43, 100737.
25- Secinaro, S., Brescia, V., Calandra, D., & Biancone, P. (2020). Employing bibliometric analysis to identify suitable business models for electric cars. Journal of cleaner production, 264, 121503.
26- Arora, A., Niese, N., Dreyer, E., Waas, A., & Xie, A. (2021). Why Electric Cars Can’t Come Fast Enough. Boston Consulting Group: Boston, MA, USA.
27- Mirzabeiki, V., 2013. An overview of freight intelligent transportation systems. International Journal of Logistics Systems and Management (IJLSM), Vol. 14, No. 4, 2013, Pages 473- 489.
28- Digitalisation and ICT innovations – a focus on port logistics DOI: 10.1080 /15568318 .2017 .1338318.
29- Gosling, S.; ICT and transport behaviour: A conceptual review, International Journal of Sustainable Transportation, Jun 2017.
30- Gössling, S., 2018. ICT and transport behavior: A conceptual review. International journal of sustainable transportation, 12(3), pp.153-164.
31- Sijabat, R. (2019). Sharing economy: A study on the factors influencing users’ motivation to use ride sharing platforms. DeReMa Jurnal Manajemen, 14(1), 65-87.
32- Thien A. Tran & Daim, T. (2008). A taxonomic review of methods and tools applied in technology assessment. Technological Forecasting & Social Chang, (75), 1396-1405.TRANSPORTS /PORTS/) / SHIPPING, PORTS AND TRANSPORTS (HTTPS :// WWW.ONTHEMOSWAY.EU/CATEGORY/SHIPPING-PORTSTRANSPORTS)
33- Ashford, N. J.; Clark, J. M.; “An overview of transport technology assessment”, Transportation Planning and Technology, Volume 3, 1975 - Issue 1, pp. 31-43, 28 Mar 2007. Available at: HTTPS:// WWW.ONTHEMOSWAY. EU/CATEGORY /SHIPPINGPORTS.
34- Deng, H.S.Y. and Fang, C., 2014. Research on the Situation and Prospect of ICT Application in China Modern Logistics. In Applied Mechanics and Materials (Vol. 568, pp. 1639-1642). Trans Tech Publications Ltd.